Saturday 3 September 2022
North Wales 12 Swinton 38
(Neutral Ground - Victoria Park, Warrington)
Sunday 11 September 2022
North Wales 12 Doncaster 26
On a strict interpretation of those results on consecutive weekends, the Dons have 12 points to find.
Using the bookies 6 points for home advantage, the Dons performance gets upgraded by 6 points as they did actually play at North Wales regular home whereas Swinton won at what was effectively a neutral venue.
However, this week Swinton have home advantage (worth six points) so either way you look at it Swinton should be 12 point favourites on the most recent form.
It being a play off game and the only thing which matters in reality is the win, neither team have to win by more than a single point. That said, I wouldn't be surprised if DM was correct with 8 or 10 points being the bookies handicap.
